At the time of writing this post, the official poll numbers have been announced for the Florida Republican and Democratic primaries. On the Republican side, John McCain edged out Mitt Romney: 43 to 37 percent. It turns out Giuliani's strategy of ignoring the first several states to focus on Florida didn't help much at all. We can probably safely assume Giuliani will drop out this week and endorse McCain. He may even be trying to set himself up to be in McCain's cabinet if McCain is elected President. Let's see.
I think Romney made a big mistake too. It would have been a big boost for him to win in Florida. And he could have. Here's how it breaks down. Mitt Romney decided to abandon South Carolina to go campaign in Nevada, a state he had essentially won without even going there??? Don't ask me how that works. By ignoring South Carolina, he did not take votes from McCain, which potentially could have allowed Huckabee to win there. Without McCain gaining momentum from South Carolina, Romney may have gained enough ground to edge out McCain in Florida. Therefore McCain would still be only win-less major conservative candidate remaining, and that might start to hurt him in the eyes of voters. Then it would be pretty much up to Romney versus Huckabee, a battle that either side could win. Romney lost a big chance for some momentum he will need going into Super Tuesday.
The Democratic side was really very boring, as the Democratic Party will be sending no delegates from Florida after Florida moved up its primary date. Thus, there was nothing at stake. Hillary Clinton campaigned anyway, and won in a landslide.
-Apollo
Sources:
http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/nationworld/chi-analysis-florida-vote-jan30,1,5599717.story
http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5jKQGmxj89vyXDiYDSNTLbKgEto-QD8UFVN5O2
January 29, 2008
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